Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Monday morning, March 14, 2022
Monday morning, March 14, 2022
LARGE AND DANGEROUS HUMAN TRIGGERED AVALANCHES ARE STILL LIKELY TODAY!!
The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on upper elevation northwest, north, northeast, and east facing slopes.
If you avoid the terrain described above, the avalanche danger is much lower.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
The quick hitting storm that moved through last night left a trace to 3 inches of new snow. Northwest wind was pretty strong during the storm and has backed off now. Temperatures are in the mid teens.
Mountain Weather
We'll see sunny skies today with high temperatures around freezing. North wind will be light and will shift southerly later on. Tuesday starts out sunny with warmer temperatures. Another small storm will move through Tuesday night into Wednesday bringing a few more inches of snow.
Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
We probably hit the apex of the avalanche danger in relation to the buried persistent weak layer of sugary facets from Jan/Feb. Things will become more stubborn and less likely to trigger. That said, conditions still remain dangerous and human triggered avalanches are still very likely right now. The problem with a buried layer of loose sugary snow is that it is very slow to stabilize and gain strength. Warmer springtime temperatures will speed the process but I guarantee that things are not stable yet. When? I'm unsure of that. We will just have to watch the weather and snowpack.
Additional Information
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.