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Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Monday morning, December 9, 2019
An isolated or MODERATE avalanche danger exists on steep, upper elevation slopes that face NW-N-E that have recent deposits of wind drifted snow. There is also a layer of moderately weak, sugary snow developing at the base of the snowpack. Though unlikely, it may be possible to trigger an avalanche on this weak layer on steep, northerly facing slopes. Most other terrain offers LOW danger.
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Weather and Snow
The mountains picked up 3"-6" from yesterday's storm, and though not a show stopper, it is a welcome refresh. Moderate WSW winds yesterday shifted to the NW by afternoon and they are currently averaging 10-15 mph. 10,000' temps are in the high teens. Today look for mostly sunny skies, increasing NW winds, and high temps in the mid 20's. A dry NW flow sets up through mid-week with the next storm on track for Thu-Fri. This system currently looks like it will favor the northern and central mountains but it's still too far out for details.
Snow depths range from 30" at Camp Jackson and Buckboard Flat (9000') to more than 4' of snow at North creek Pass (10,500'). Some sun and wind-exposed slopes have considerably less and there is still some grass poking out, but all said we're off to a good start down here.
Snow totals at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals at Camp Jackson (8858')
Wind, temperature, and humidity on Abajo Peak (11,000')
Recent Avalanches
There was a close call in the Logan area mountains on Saturday where two riders were caught in an avalanche. Once was partially buried. Both ended up ok. DETAILS HERE.
The partially buried rider's had is sticking up in the photo below.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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